Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 15.102078 17.050888 19.171655 21.653515 24.481631 27.607767 31.330526
2025-02-23 11.754544 14.221352 17.109144 20.748968 25.227993 30.577070 37.475780
2025-03-02 9.466528 12.171623 15.549448 20.098462 26.097466 33.783251 44.448652
2025-03-09 7.879688 10.706890 14.451132 19.810400 27.346401 37.656917 52.988800
2025-03-16 6.653014 9.507150 13.496167 19.535928 28.550862 41.667574 62.489698
2025-03-23 5.903650 8.843758 13.166186 20.068496 30.973797 47.806921 76.275552
2025-03-30 5.151645 8.054802 12.524174 20.018122 32.496447 52.845279 89.364382
2025-04-06 4.437327 7.212630 11.668103 19.480206 33.132949 56.560166 101.001679
2025-04-13 3.883257 6.544061 10.986023 19.107904 33.964684 60.720289 114.239624
2025-04-20 3.561237 6.215826 10.819630 19.590766 36.373552 68.081738 134.957804
2025-04-27 3.298807 5.952220 10.723473 20.177241 39.063709 76.434588 159.414545
2025-05-04 3.026931 5.632352 10.477412 20.435559 41.151762 83.970694 183.809517
2025-05-11 2.693864 5.161717 9.900611 19.988986 41.811719 88.865464 203.935324
2025-05-18 2.415489 4.760221 9.403694 19.630124 42.605224 94.227587 226.513697
2025-05-25 2.181495 4.416474 8.975714 19.350983 43.532225 100.090439 251.824688
2025-06-01 1.998580 4.153735 8.679190 19.313744 45.011996 107.554644 283.181161
2025-06-08 1.832382 3.904608 8.377668 19.217515 46.339026 114.929239 316.278975
2025-06-15 1.740885 3.806154 8.392846 19.867833 49.635857 128.000212 369.027392
2025-06-22 1.615284 3.614816 8.171899 19.909283 51.384636 137.362229 413.486898
2025-06-29 1.470384 3.360832 7.771796 19.438274 51.687941 142.824861 447.453948
2025-07-06 1.350294 3.150356 7.447625 19.111723 52.328741 149.390749 486.909126
2025-07-13 1.288814 3.073659 7.440352 19.627789 55.468123 164.060291 558.300413
2025-07-20 1.236621 3.013341 7.466114 20.239959 59.018245 180.821571 642.490420